Energiepolitik > Fossile Energie / Atomkraft

Vom Rückgang der Ölförderung: Peak Oil!

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energienetz:
Danke für den Link zu wsj! Gruss von ap

Sukram:
Da schau her- liest ja doch noch jemand ;-)


EIA data show OPEC-12 production in the second quarter of 2007 was 34.7 million barrels per day, 0.5 million barrels per day lower than OPEC-12 production for the same period in 2006, despite global oil demand increasing by 1.3 million barrels per day over this same time period..EIA estimates Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) inventories, which have fallen sharply in terms of days supply since the beginning of the year, would be in the lower part of the 5-year average range by the end of 2007 even if OPEC producers increased output as projected by EIA in the second half of the year.However, if OPEC members do not raise production in line with estimates used in the STEO, EIA would expect more upward price pressure than is currently in EIA’s projected price path.\"

http://www.cattlenetwork.com/content.asp?contentid=143925


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\"Days of supply\" - Grafik der US-Behörde EIA zeigt den Verlauf der Reichweite der eigenen Vorräte der OECD- mit abnehmender Tendenz: Logisch, wenn die mangelnde Förderung ausgeglichen werden muss

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/gifs/Slide25.gif

Sukram:
http://www.theoildrum.com/files/drum_watch_aug1.png

EIA = Energiebehörde der USA
IEA = Internationale Energieagentur der OECD, Paris

Sukram:


Draufklicken zum vergrößern.

Obiges \"Tief\" trifft sich auch prima mit dem normalerweise jährlichen Absatztief für Heizöl hierzulande.

Sukram:
Russia to run out of oil in 50 years, gas in 75 years - scientist

MOSCOW, September 24 (RIA Novosti) - Russia will run out of crude oil reserves in 50 years, and the country\'s natural gas will be depleted in 75 years, a geologist specializing in oil production said Monday.

Yevgeny Kozlovsky, who served as geology minister in the Soviet Union, said the forecast was based on predicted production levels and the size of current reserves, including possible new finds. ...


http://en.rian.ru/russia/20070924/80684069.html

Natürlich wird der Export angesichts ds Eigenverbrauchs schneller zurückgehen - insbesondere da in russischen Städten das Heizgas pauschal 10€ /mon kostet & (Thermostat)ventile weitgehend unbekannt sind...

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